Golden Dome is a massive mis­take

TAMARA LORINCZ

26 May 2025

In a recent press con­fer­ence, Prime Min­is­ter Mark Car­ney con­firmed Canada is eval­u­at­ing its par­ti­cip­a­tion in the Trump admin­is­tra­tion’s Golden Dome pro­gram.

U.S. Pres­id­ent Don­ald Trump announced a next­gen­er­a­tion mis­sile defence shield for a cost of $175 bil­lion and named a U.S. Space Force Gen­eral to lead it.

The Golden Dome is a multi­layered shield that integ­rates ground, sea, air and space­based inter­cept­ors to pur­portedly pro­tect the U.S. home­land from mis­sile attacks launched by adversar­ies. The shield will require the place­ment of hun­dreds of new satel­lites with soph­ist­ic­ated sensors and inter­cept­ors in low­-Earth orbit.

Trump claimed Golden Dome would “all be made in the U.S.” and com­pleted in the next four years. He also said Canada wanted to join the pro­gram and would “pay its fair share.” Yet, the U.S. Con­gres­sional Budget Office estim­ates the cost would be in excess of $500 bil­lion over the next 20 years.

Trump explained Golden Dome will com­plete what pres­id­ent Ron­ald Reagan star­ted in the 1980s with the Stra­tegic Defense Ini­ti­at­ive, which was also known as “Star Wars.”

However, MIT pro­fessor emer­itus Ted Postol, who is a lead­ing expert on mis­sile defence, calls Trump’s Golden Dome “sci­ence fic­tion.” He is the sci­ent­ist who proved that the U.S. Pat­riot sys­tem did not work against Iraqi scud mis­sile dur­ing the first Gulf War. Postol also determ­ined the U.S.­fin­anced Israeli Iron Dome has had a “low suc­cess” rate.

In an extens­ive inter­view, Postol explained inter­cept­ors can­not detect the dif­fer­ence between war­heads and decoys and the Golden Dome sys­tem will be eas­ily neg­ated.

He argued it is the weapons man­u­fac­tur­ers that want the mis­sile defence pro­gram, because it’s another cash cow that will enrich the mil­it­ary­indus­trial com­plex. For­bes repor­ted that Space X, Palantir and Anduril are the front run­ners in a joint bid.

Car­ney stated that Cana­dian offi­cials have been in dis­cus­sions at the highest level with the White House on par­ti­cip­a­tion in the Golden Dome.

Yet, Cana­dians also deserve to par­ti­cip­ate in pub­lic con­sulta­tions and have a par­lia­ment­ary hear­ing about the coun­try’s involve­ment before any final decision is made, because of the ser­i­ous risks and costs.

As the pres­id­en­tial exec­ut­ive order out­lined, the new mis­sile defence sys­tem will cre­ate a “warfighter space archi­tec­ture.” Golden Dome will lead to the weapon­iz­a­tion of space, which viol­ates inter­na­tional law. It can also be used offens­ively, so it dan­ger­ously leads to an arms race and risks the use of nuc­lear weapons.

Moreover, the envir­on­mental and cli­mate impacts have not been con­sidered. More mil­it­ary satel­lites will res­ult in more pol­lu­tion in space. The European Space Agency estim­ates there are now over 140 mil­lion space debris objects.

Canada can­not afford another expens­ive U.S. weapons sys­tem. Ott­awa has already announced $38 bil­lion for Norad mod­ern­iz­a­tion with the U.S., $19 bil­lion for new Amer­ican F­35 fighter jets, $5 bil­lion for Amer­ican Reaper drones and $22 bil­lion for three naval des­troy­ers with Lock­heed Mar­tin’s Aegis mis­sile sys­tem.

Postol said that more respons­ible, cost­effect­ive solu­tions involve arms con­trol and the nor­mal­iz­a­tion of rela­tions with Rus­sia.

The U.S. should imme­di­ately rein­state the Inter­me­di­ate Nuc­lear Forces Treaty, which Trump with­drew from in 2018 dur­ing his first admin­is­tra­tion and can­cel plans to deploy new Amer­ican long­range mis­sile to Ger­many sched­uled for 2026.

Car­ney instead should lead an inter­na­tional ini­ti­at­ive to enhance co­oper­a­tion with all coun­tries on the peace­ful uses of space under the 1967 Outer Space Treaty and the imple­ment­a­tion of the prin­ciple of the “Pre­ven­tion of an Arms Race in Outer Space.”

Twenty years ago, the Lib­eral gov­ern­ment prudently listened to the Cana­dian pub­lic and announced it would not join the U.S. bal­listic mis­sile defence pro­gram. Ott­awa should again stay out of Trump’s Star Wars II.

TAMARA LORINCZ IS A PHD CANDIDATE AT THE BALSILLIE SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS, WILFRID LAURIER UNIVERSITY AND A MEMBER OF THE CANADIAN FOREIGN POLICY INSTITUTE.